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Canadian Federal Polling Tracker

Public voting-intention polls from major Canadian pollsters. Hover for a snapshot, click anywhere on the chart for the nearest poll's full details.

Jun 7, 26 – Sep 5, 26 (90 days · 39 polls)
0%10%20%30%40%50%Jul 26Aug 26Sep 26

Showing 39 of 222 polls. Compiled from publicly released polls; each poll attributed to its pollster. Shaded bands show each poll's margin of error.

Compare pollsters

Pick pollsters in the Filters panel (top right) — or click any row below — to focus the chart and highlight their rows. All figures cover the selected date range (Jun 7, 26 – Sep 5, 26).

Averages & lean vs. the field, by pollster

PollsterPollsLast pollLPCCPCNDPBQGPCPPC
All pollsters39—
43.7
field
32.5
field
11.9
field
6.2
field
3.2
field
1.6
field
Liaison Strategies13Sep 5, 26
43.2
−0.9
32.8
+0.3
12.7
+1.3 ▲
5.8
−0.8
2.2
−1.3 ▼
1.6
+0.0
Nanos Research12Aug 28, 26
44.0
+0.4
30.4
−3.2 ▼
13.0
+1.7 ▲
6.5
+0.5
4.3
+1.6 ▲
1.5
−0.1
Abacus Data6Aug 26, 26
43.8
+0.1
36.3
+4.5 ▲
9.0
−3.4 ▼
6.8
+0.7
2.7
−0.6
1.3
−0.3
Angus Reid Institute2Jul 27, 26
40.5
−3.6
36.0
+3.6
12.5
+1.1
6.5
+0.4
2.5
−0.9
1.0
−0.6
Léger2Aug 3, 26
47.0
+3.5
34.0
+1.6
7.0
−5.2
6.0
−0.2
4.0
+0.7
—
—
EKOS Research1Aug 4, 26
44.7
+0.4
27.1
−5.0
17.0
+5.4
4.4
−1.9
3.5
+0.0
2.2
+0.5
Ipsos1Aug 27, 26
44.0
−0.4
33.0
+1.7
10.0
−2.4
8.0
+1.8
2.0
−1.1
2.0
+0.3
Mainstreet Research1Jun 13, 26
43.1
−0.2
32.8
−0.3
12.3
+1.1
5.3
−0.9
3.6
+0.3
1.6
−0.1
Research Co.1Aug 7, 26
47.0
+2.9
27.0
−4.9
10.0
−2.2
6.0
−0.2
5.0
+1.6
4.0
+2.4

Top figure: unweighted mean of the pollster's published toplines in the selected range. Below it: how far the pollster runs above (+) or below (−) other pollsters' polls fielded within two weeks of theirs — so nobody is called high or low just for polling during a surge. Bold ▲/▼ marks a consistent lean of at least a point across three or more polls; dashes mean too few contemporaneous polls to compare.

Bias map

-6-4-20+2+4+6← runs lowruns high →Click to filter to this pollsterLiaison Strategies13Liaison Strategies · LPC −0.9 over 13 pollsLiaison Strategies · CPC +0.3 over 13 pollsLiaison Strategies · NDP +1.3 over 13 pollsLiaison Strategies · BQ −0.8 over 13 pollsLiaison Strategies · GPC −1.3 over 13 pollsLiaison Strategies · PPC +0.0 over 13 pollsClick to filter to this pollsterNanos Research12Nanos Research · LPC +0.4 over 12 pollsNanos Research · CPC −3.2 over 12 pollsNanos Research · NDP +1.7 over 12 pollsNanos Research · BQ +0.5 over 12 pollsNanos Research · GPC +1.6 over 12 pollsNanos Research · PPC −0.1 over 12 pollsClick to filter to this pollsterAbacus Data6Abacus Data · LPC +0.1 over 6 pollsAbacus Data · CPC +4.5 over 6 pollsAbacus Data · NDP −3.4 over 6 pollsAbacus Data · BQ +0.7 over 6 pollsAbacus Data · GPC −0.6 over 6 pollsAbacus Data · PPC −0.3 over 6 pollsClick to filter to this pollsterAngus Reid Institute2Angus Reid Institute · LPC −3.6 over 2 pollsAngus Reid Institute · CPC +3.6 over 2 pollsAngus Reid Institute · NDP +1.1 over 2 pollsAngus Reid Institute · BQ +0.4 over 2 pollsAngus Reid Institute · GPC −0.9 over 2 pollsAngus Reid Institute · PPC −0.6 over 1 pollClick to filter to this pollsterLéger2Léger · LPC +3.5 over 2 pollsLéger · CPC +1.6 over 2 pollsLéger · NDP −5.2 over 2 pollsLéger · BQ −0.2 over 2 pollsLéger · GPC +0.7 over 2 pollsClick to filter to this pollsterEKOS Research1EKOS Research · LPC +0.4 over 1 pollEKOS Research · CPC −5.0 over 1 pollEKOS Research · NDP +5.4 over 1 pollEKOS Research · BQ −1.9 over 1 pollEKOS Research · GPC +0.0 over 1 pollEKOS Research · PPC +0.5 over 1 pollClick to filter to this pollsterIpsos1Ipsos · LPC −0.4 over 1 pollIpsos · CPC +1.7 over 1 pollIpsos · NDP −2.4 over 1 pollIpsos · BQ +1.8 over 1 pollIpsos · GPC −1.1 over 1 pollIpsos · PPC +0.3 over 1 pollClick to filter to this pollsterMainstreet Research1Mainstreet Research · LPC −0.2 over 1 pollMainstreet Research · CPC −0.3 over 1 pollMainstreet Research · NDP +1.1 over 1 pollMainstreet Research · BQ −0.9 over 1 pollMainstreet Research · GPC +0.3 over 1 pollMainstreet Research · PPC −0.1 over 1 pollClick to filter to this pollsterResearch Co.1Research Co. · LPC +2.9 over 1 pollResearch Co. · CPC −4.9 over 1 pollResearch Co. · NDP −2.2 over 1 pollResearch Co. · BQ −0.2 over 1 pollResearch Co. · GPC +1.6 over 1 pollResearch Co. · PPC +2.4 over 1 poll

Each dot is a pollster's mean lean for one party, in points against other pollsters' polls fielded within two weeks. Dots right of the line run high, left run low; a gold ring marks a consistent lean of at least a point across three or more polls. The party chips above the map hide or show parties; clicking a row filters the main chart to that pollster. Filtering by method — in the Filters panel, top right — turns this into a within-mode bias map.

Compare methodologies

The same comparison, grouped by how polls are conducted. The method filter in the Filters panel (top right) scopes the chart and every table; clicking rows here does the same. These tables always cover every method in the selected date range, so the comparison keeps its full context while you filter.

Averages & lean vs. the field, by method

MethodPollsLast pollLPCCPCNDPBQGPCPPC
All methods39—
43.7
field
32.5
field
11.9
field
6.2
field
3.2
field
1.6
field
IVR14Sep 5, 26
43.1
−0.9
32.8
+0.2
12.7
+1.4 ▲
5.7
−0.8
2.3
−1.3 ▼
1.6
+0.0
Telephone13Aug 28, 26
44.1
+0.5
30.1
−3.7 ▼
13.3
+2.2 ▲
6.4
+0.2
4.3
+1.6 ▲
1.6
−0.1
Online12Aug 27, 26
44.1
+0.4
34.8
+3.5 ▲
9.4
−3.5 ▼
6.7
+0.6
3.0
−0.3
1.7
+0.1

Top figure: unweighted mean of the toplines from every poll using the method in range. Below it: how far those polls run above (+) or below (−) polls using other methods fielded within two weeks — the mode-effect analogue of a pollster's house effect. Bold ▲/▼ marks a consistent lean of at least a point across three or more polls.