Canadian Federal Polling Tracker
Public voting-intention polls from major Canadian pollsters. Hover for a snapshot, click anywhere on the chart for the nearest poll's full details.
Showing 40 of 241 polls. Compiled from publicly released polls; each poll attributed to its pollster. Shaded bands show each poll's margin of error.
Compare pollsters
Pick pollsters in the Filters panel (top right) — or click any row below — to focus the chart and highlight their rows. All figures cover the selected date range (Jul 19, 26 – Oct 17, 26).
Averages & lean vs. the field, by pollster
| Pollster | Polls | Last poll | LPC | CPC | NDP | BQ | GPC | PPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All pollsters | 40 | — | 45.6 field | 31.2 field | 11.8 field | 6.1 field | 3.0 field | 1.7 field |
| Liaison Strategies | 13 | Oct 17, 26 | 44.5 −1.8 ▼ | 31.0 −0.3 | 13.5 +2.7 ▲ | 5.9 −0.2 | 2.3 −0.9 | 1.8 +0.3 |
| Nanos Research | 12 | Oct 9, 26 | 46.9 +1.8 ▲ | 29.7 −2.0 ▼ | 11.9 +0.1 | 6.0 −0.1 | 3.6 +0.9 | 1.5 −0.3 |
| Abacus Data | 6 | Oct 13, 26 | 45.0 −0.8 | 34.8 +4.4 ▲ | 9.0 −3.3 ▼ | 7.0 +1.1 ▲ | 2.8 −0.2 | 1.2 −0.6 |
| Léger | 3 | Oct 12, 26 | 47.7 +2.1 ▲ | 33.3 +2.4 ▲ | 7.3 −4.9 ▼ | 6.3 +0.3 | 3.3 +0.5 | — — |
| Angus Reid Institute | 2 | Sep 7, 26 | 43.0 −2.5 | 34.0 +2.4 | 12.5 +1.0 | 5.5 −0.6 | 2.5 −0.6 | 1.0 −0.8 |
| EKOS Research | 2 | Oct 2, 26 | 46.0 +0.3 | 26.8 −4.5 | 16.1 +4.4 | 4.5 −1.7 | 3.4 +0.3 | 2.0 +0.4 |
| Ipsos | 1 | Aug 27, 26 | 44.0 −1.4 | 33.0 +1.4 | 10.0 −1.4 | 8.0 +1.9 | 2.0 −1.0 | 2.0 +0.4 |
| Research Co. | 1 | Aug 7, 26 | 47.0 +2.9 | 27.0 −4.9 | 10.0 −2.2 | 6.0 −0.2 | 5.0 +1.6 | 4.0 +2.4 |
Top figure: unweighted mean of the pollster's published toplines in the selected range. Below it: how far the pollster runs above (+) or below (−) other pollsters' polls fielded within two weeks of theirs — so nobody is called high or low just for polling during a surge. Bold ▲/▼ marks a consistent lean of at least a point across three or more polls; dashes mean too few contemporaneous polls to compare.
Bias map
Each dot is a pollster's mean lean for one party, in points against other pollsters' polls fielded within two weeks. Dots right of the line run high, left run low; a gold ring marks a consistent lean of at least a point across three or more polls. The party chips above the map hide or show parties; clicking a row filters the main chart to that pollster. Filtering by method — in the Filters panel, top right — turns this into a within-mode bias map.
Compare methodologies
The same comparison, grouped by how polls are conducted. The method filter in the Filters panel (top right) scopes the chart and every table; clicking rows here does the same. These tables always cover every method in the selected date range, so the comparison keeps its full context while you filter.
Averages & lean vs. the field, by method
| Method | Polls | Last poll | LPC | CPC | NDP | BQ | GPC | PPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All methods | 40 | — | 45.6 field | 31.2 field | 11.8 field | 6.1 field | 3.0 field | 1.7 field |
| Telephone | 14 | Oct 9, 26 | 46.7 +1.8 ▲ | 29.3 −2.9 ▼ | 12.5 +1.0 ▲ | 5.8 −0.5 | 3.6 +0.9 | 1.6 −0.2 |
| IVR | 13 | Oct 17, 26 | 44.5 −1.8 ▼ | 31.0 −0.3 | 13.5 +2.7 ▲ | 5.9 −0.2 | 2.3 −0.9 | 1.8 +0.3 |
| Online | 13 | Oct 13, 26 | 45.4 −0.1 | 33.6 +3.4 ▲ | 9.3 −3.7 ▼ | 6.6 +0.8 | 3.0 −0.0 | 1.6 −0.2 |
Top figure: unweighted mean of the toplines from every poll using the method in range. Below it: how far those polls run above (+) or below (−) polls using other methods fielded within two weeks — the mode-effect analogue of a pollster's house effect. Bold ▲/▼ marks a consistent lean of at least a point across three or more polls.