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Canadian Federal Polling Tracker

Public voting-intention polls from major Canadian pollsters. Hover for a snapshot, click anywhere on the chart for the nearest poll's full details.

May 2, 25 – Aug 8, 26 (463 days · 212 polls)
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26

Showing 212 of 212 polls. Compiled from publicly released polls; each poll attributed to its pollster. Shaded bands show each poll's margin of error.

Compare pollsters

Pick pollsters in the Filters panel (top right) — or click any row below — to focus the chart and highlight their rows. All figures cover the selected date range (May 2, 25 – Aug 8, 26).

Averages & lean vs. the field, by pollster

PollsterPollsLast pollLPCCPCNDPBQGPCPPC
All pollsters212—
42.9
field
35.3
field
10.0
field
6.3
field
2.9
field
1.6
field
Nanos Research67Aug 7, 26
42.3
−0.8
33.9
−2.4 ▼
11.5
+2.3 ▲
6.3
+0.0
3.6
+1.0
1.5
−0.0
Liaison Strategies46Aug 8, 26
42.8
−0.6
34.5
−0.2
10.6
+0.5
6.2
−0.2
2.4
−0.8
1.7
+0.3
Abacus Data32Jul 29, 26
42.5
−0.4
38.8
+3.9 ▲
8.0
−2.4 ▼
6.5
+0.2
2.6
−0.4
1.2
−0.4
Léger13Aug 3, 26
46.7
+3.8 ▲
35.9
+0.9
6.3
−4.1 ▼
6.5
+0.2
3.0
+0.1
—
—
Angus Reid Institute10Jul 27, 26
40.9
−2.3 ▼
36.9
+1.8 ▲
10.5
+0.7
7.4
+1.2 ▲
2.5
−0.5
1.0
−0.6
EKOS Research10Aug 4, 26
44.1
+1.3 ▲
31.2
−5.0 ▼
12.8
+3.2 ▲
5.2
−1.1 ▼
3.4
+0.7
2.2
+0.7
Innovative Research7Feb 17, 26
41.1
−1.4 ▼
38.3
+1.9 ▲
8.9
−0.4
6.7
+0.2
3.4
+0.6
—
—
Mainstreet Research7Jun 13, 26
44.9
+2.2 ▲
37.8
+2.2 ▲
7.0
−2.9 ▼
5.1
−1.4 ▼
2.1
−0.8
1.5
−0.0
Pallas Data5May 24, 26
42.0
+0.7
36.3
+0.2
9.7
−0.7
6.9
+0.2
2.8
−0.3
2.0
+0.6
Research Co.5Aug 7, 26
45.6
+2.1 ▲
33.0
−1.8 ▼
9.0
−1.2 ▼
6.4
+0.3
3.0
+0.1
1.8
+0.2
Ipsos4Apr 7, 26
43.0
+0.3
36.3
+0.7
8.3
−1.4 ▼
7.5
+1.2 ▲
2.0
−1.0
1.8
+0.2
Spark Insights4Apr 8, 26
44.8
+0.2
33.3
−0.9
9.5
−0.2
5.8
−0.2
—
—
—
—
Kolosowski Strategies1Nov 18, 25
44.0
+2.4
44.0
+6.3
3.0
−6.1
6.0
−0.9
1.0
−1.6
1.0
−0.4
Pollara1Feb 24, 26
47.0
+2.9
34.0
−0.2
9.0
+0.1
7.0
+1.0
—
—
—
—

Top figure: unweighted mean of the pollster's published toplines in the selected range. Below it: how far the pollster runs above (+) or below (−) other pollsters' polls fielded within two weeks of theirs — so nobody is called high or low just for polling during a surge. Bold ▲/▼ marks a consistent lean of at least a point across three or more polls; dashes mean too few contemporaneous polls to compare.

Bias map

-7-5-3-1+1+3+5+7← runs lowruns high →Click to filter to this pollsterNanos Research67Nanos Research · LPC −0.8 over 66 pollsNanos Research · CPC −2.4 over 66 pollsNanos Research · NDP +2.3 over 66 pollsNanos Research · BQ +0.0 over 66 pollsNanos Research · GPC +1.0 over 66 pollsNanos Research · PPC −0.0 over 66 pollsClick to filter to this pollsterLiaison Strategies46Liaison Strategies · LPC −0.6 over 46 pollsLiaison Strategies · CPC −0.2 over 46 pollsLiaison Strategies · NDP +0.5 over 46 pollsLiaison Strategies · BQ −0.2 over 46 pollsLiaison Strategies · GPC −0.8 over 46 pollsLiaison Strategies · PPC +0.3 over 46 pollsClick to filter to this pollsterAbacus Data32Abacus Data · LPC −0.4 over 32 pollsAbacus Data · CPC +3.9 over 32 pollsAbacus Data · NDP −2.4 over 32 pollsAbacus Data · BQ +0.2 over 32 pollsAbacus Data · GPC −0.4 over 32 pollsAbacus Data · PPC −0.4 over 32 pollsClick to filter to this pollsterLéger13Léger · LPC +3.8 over 13 pollsLéger · CPC +0.9 over 13 pollsLéger · NDP −4.1 over 13 pollsLéger · BQ +0.2 over 13 pollsLéger · GPC +0.1 over 13 pollsClick to filter to this pollsterAngus Reid Institute10Angus Reid Institute · LPC −2.3 over 10 pollsAngus Reid Institute · CPC +1.8 over 10 pollsAngus Reid Institute · NDP +0.7 over 10 pollsAngus Reid Institute · BQ +1.2 over 10 pollsAngus Reid Institute · GPC −0.5 over 10 pollsAngus Reid Institute · PPC −0.6 over 3 pollsClick to filter to this pollsterEKOS Research10EKOS Research · LPC +1.3 over 10 pollsEKOS Research · CPC −5.0 over 10 pollsEKOS Research · NDP +3.2 over 10 pollsEKOS Research · BQ −1.1 over 10 pollsEKOS Research · GPC +0.7 over 10 pollsEKOS Research · PPC +0.7 over 10 pollsClick to filter to this pollsterInnovative Research7Innovative Research · LPC −1.4 over 7 pollsInnovative Research · CPC +1.9 over 7 pollsInnovative Research · NDP −0.4 over 7 pollsInnovative Research · BQ +0.2 over 7 pollsInnovative Research · GPC +0.6 over 7 pollsClick to filter to this pollsterMainstreet Research7Mainstreet Research · LPC +2.2 over 7 pollsMainstreet Research · CPC +2.2 over 7 pollsMainstreet Research · NDP −2.9 over 7 pollsMainstreet Research · BQ −1.4 over 7 pollsMainstreet Research · GPC −0.8 over 7 pollsMainstreet Research · PPC −0.0 over 7 pollsClick to filter to this pollsterPallas Data5Pallas Data · LPC +0.7 over 5 pollsPallas Data · CPC +0.2 over 5 pollsPallas Data · NDP −0.7 over 5 pollsPallas Data · BQ +0.2 over 5 pollsPallas Data · GPC −0.3 over 5 pollsPallas Data · PPC +0.6 over 1 pollClick to filter to this pollsterResearch Co.5Research Co. · LPC +2.1 over 5 pollsResearch Co. · CPC −1.8 over 5 pollsResearch Co. · NDP −1.2 over 5 pollsResearch Co. · BQ +0.3 over 5 pollsResearch Co. · GPC +0.1 over 5 pollsResearch Co. · PPC +0.2 over 5 pollsClick to filter to this pollsterIpsos4Ipsos · LPC +0.3 over 4 pollsIpsos · CPC +0.7 over 4 pollsIpsos · NDP −1.4 over 4 pollsIpsos · BQ +1.2 over 4 pollsIpsos · GPC −1.0 over 4 pollsIpsos · PPC +0.2 over 4 pollsClick to filter to this pollsterSpark Insights4Spark Insights · LPC +0.2 over 4 pollsSpark Insights · CPC −0.9 over 4 pollsSpark Insights · NDP −0.2 over 4 pollsSpark Insights · BQ −0.2 over 4 pollsClick to filter to this pollsterKolosowski Strategies1Kolosowski Strategies · LPC +2.4 over 1 pollKolosowski Strategies · CPC +6.3 over 1 pollKolosowski Strategies · NDP −6.1 over 1 pollKolosowski Strategies · BQ −0.9 over 1 pollKolosowski Strategies · GPC −1.6 over 1 pollKolosowski Strategies · PPC −0.4 over 1 pollClick to filter to this pollsterPollara1Pollara · LPC +2.9 over 1 pollPollara · CPC −0.2 over 1 pollPollara · NDP +0.1 over 1 pollPollara · BQ +1.0 over 1 poll

Each dot is a pollster's mean lean for one party, in points against other pollsters' polls fielded within two weeks. Dots right of the line run high, left run low; a gold ring marks a consistent lean of at least a point across three or more polls. The party chips above the map hide or show parties; clicking a row filters the main chart to that pollster. Filtering by method — in the Filters panel, top right — turns this into a within-mode bias map.

Compare methodologies

The same comparison, grouped by how polls are conducted. The method filter in the Filters panel (top right) scopes the chart and every table; clicking rows here does the same. These tables always cover every method in the selected date range, so the comparison keeps its full context while you filter.

Averages & lean vs. the field, by method

MethodPollsLast pollLPCCPCNDPBQGPCPPC
All methods212—
42.9
field
35.3
field
10.0
field
6.3
field
2.9
field
1.6
field
Online83Aug 7, 26
43.3
+0.6
36.7
+2.2 ▲
8.6
−2.1 ▼
6.5
+0.4
2.8
−0.2
1.4
−0.2
Telephone69Aug 7, 26
42.3
−0.7
33.9
−2.5 ▼
11.6
+2.3 ▲
6.3
−0.0
3.5
+0.9
1.5
−0.0
IVR60Aug 8, 26
43.1
+0.0
34.9
−0.1
10.1
+0.1
6.1
−0.4
2.5
−0.8
1.7
+0.3

Top figure: unweighted mean of the toplines from every poll using the method in range. Below it: how far those polls run above (+) or below (−) polls using other methods fielded within two weeks — the mode-effect analogue of a pollster's house effect. Bold ▲/▼ marks a consistent lean of at least a point across three or more polls.